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How to continue after 1♣ - 3♣? **

Which South hand fits the bidding best?

NorthSouth
11  
323  

1 Minimum three-card suit
2 Invitational: 10-11 HCP, no four-card major, at least five clubs

South 1South 2South 3
10 7Q J 5A J 4 3
K J 7 5K Q 10 7A Q
A Q58 7
A Q 7 6 4K Q 8 7 6K Q J 5 4

Solution

South should pass if he has a minimum hand.
If he has sufficient extra strength, he will start by investigating the possibility of 3NT. After all, a 4-4 fit in a major suit has already been ruled out and bidding five in a minor is our last option: we only consider to do so after 3NT and four in a major have been proven wrong.

South 1 should bid 3, not 3. In this situation (once more: South knows there is no 4-4 fit in a major) bidding his second suit is pointless, so he should bid guards (stoppers) in other suits, in order to investigate 3NT. He does so up the line. So a 3 bid would deny a diamond guard.

South 2 should pass. His hand is a minimum, so game is not on.

South 3 is the one to bid 3. He shows a heart guard and denies a diamond guard. He hopes that North has a diamond guard, so NS can play 3NT after all.


For connoisseurs:
Suppose South bids a guard (so he has sufficient extra strength, since the bidding is now game forcing) and it turns out that North and South both lack a guard in a specific suit. Still it isn't 100% certain then, that they will play five in a minor now. Sometimes four in a minor in a 4-3 fit is a possibility. Important then is that the hand with the three-card trump suit is short (maximum a doubleton) in that suit. That way declarer can ruff that suit with the short trump suit and draw trumps later with the four card suit:

S/EWA 6 2
 
 K 8 5
7 6
K 10 7 6 2
  windroos  
    
 Q J 7 4
 
A Q J 3
2
A Q 8 3

WestNorthEastSouth

1
pass
3pass
31
pass42pass
43
pass
pass4pass
 

1 Heart guard, no diamond guard
2 No diamond guard either (note that North should not bid 3: that bid would show a diamond guard — by staying below 3NT, he continues to show interest in that contract — and deny a spade guard!)
3 'I have a four-card heart suit; if you have three-card support, this might be a good spot'
4 'Suits me fine'

Of course, 5 is a fine contract as well, but on the assumption that NS don't want to venture 6 (which depends on the spade finesse), 4 is superior to 5, especially at match points.
If the finesse for the K succeeds, declarer will make twelve tricks (+420) in 5and eleven tricks (+450) in 4 (if, against 4, EW start off with two rounds of diamonds, South discards a spade at the second diamond trick!).
If the finesse for the K fails, declarer will make eleven tricks (+400) in 5and ten tricks (+420) in 4.
 

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